Premier League 2025-26

Run-In Simulator

Explore title, Europe, and relegation odds from the latest snapshot, then drill into the fixtures shaping the table.

Methodology

This simulator starts from a current Premier League snapshot, estimates each remaining match using Club Elo plus home advantage, then runs Monte Carlo simulations over the rest of the season.

Draws use a separate closeness boost, and goal difference uses a lightweight score proxy so the model can resolve tiebreaks without claiming to predict exact scorelines.

Snapshot date: 2026-03-22. Generated at 2026-03-28T00:20:15Z.

Table source: https://www.football-data.co.uk/mmz4281/2526/E0.csv

Fixtures source: https://fixturedownload.com/view/json/epl-2025

Elo source: Club Elo England ranking snapshot from 2026-02-27 (local fallback map)

Snapshot-based probabilities powered by Elo-derived win rates, a draw model, and Monte Carlo simulation.